Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000661 0.000750 0.000844 0.000951 0.001068 0.001193 0.001335
2025-12-07 0.000521 0.000644 0.000783 0.000950 0.001145 0.001364 0.001628
2025-12-14 0.000438 0.000575 0.000736 0.000939 0.001185 0.001471 0.001826
2025-12-21 0.000373 0.000517 0.000694 0.000924 0.001213 0.001558 0.001999
2025-12-28 0.000339 0.000493 0.000687 0.000949 0.001285 0.001697 0.002235
2026-01-04 0.000308 0.000467 0.000676 0.000963 0.001342 0.001817 0.002449
2026-01-11 0.000274 0.000433 0.000649 0.000955 0.001368 0.001896 0.002611
2026-01-18 0.000243 0.000402 0.000623 0.000944 0.001387 0.001964 0.002759
2026-01-25 0.000223 0.000383 0.000612 0.000953 0.001432 0.002066 0.002953
2026-02-01 0.000204 0.000363 0.000598 0.000955 0.001466 0.002155 0.003129
2026-02-08 0.000178 0.000331 0.000564 0.000925 0.001454 0.002178 0.003218
2026-02-15 0.000157 0.000305 0.000535 0.000902 0.001448 0.002209 0.003316
2026-02-22 0.000143 0.000288 0.000520 0.000898 0.001471 0.002280 0.003472
2026-03-01 0.000130 0.000273 0.000507 0.000897 0.001498 0.002357 0.003639
2026-03-08 0.000117 0.000256 0.000490 0.000886 0.001509 0.002412 0.003775
2026-03-15 0.000105 0.000238 0.000470 0.000872 0.001513 0.002456 0.003894
2026-03-22 0.000100 0.000235 0.000474 0.000895 0.001576 0.002586 0.004142
2026-03-29 0.000094 0.000229 0.000473 0.000909 0.001624 0.002696 0.004360
2026-04-05 0.000086 0.000216 0.000459 0.000901 0.001637 0.002754 0.004504
2026-04-12 0.000078 0.000204 0.000444 0.000891 0.001645 0.002803 0.004635
2026-04-19 0.000073 0.000197 0.000440 0.000899 0.001683 0.002899 0.004838
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000190 0.000433 0.000901 0.001711 0.002980 0.005019
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000174 0.000410 0.000873 0.001687 0.002979 0.005076